Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
3 - 2
Cracovia

Kapustka (17' pen.), Gual (26'), Urbanski (39')
Pankov (21'), Morishita (67'), Kobylak (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kallman (34'), Maigaard (79')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 5-2 Legia
Sunday, November 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

KS Cracovia

All competitions
Last Game: Cracovia 3-4 Katowice
Saturday, November 9 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawKS Cracovia
54.65% (-0.596 -0.6)24.1% (0.296 0.3)21.25% (0.293 0.29)
Both teams to score 50.18% (-0.492 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (-0.866 -0.87)50.7% (0.858 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (-0.768 -0.77)72.6% (0.762 0.76)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.547 -0.55)18.44% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)49.63% (0.923 0.92)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (-0.193 -0.19)38.46% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (-0.184 -0.18)75.21% (0.179 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 54.64%
    KS Cracovia 21.25%
    Draw 24.09%
Legia WarsawDrawKS Cracovia
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.242 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.09%
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.198 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.25%

Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Cracovia
2-0
Legia
Kallman (25', 57')
Kakabadze (7'), Makuch (88')

Gual (41'), Pankov (45'), Pesqueira (90+3')
Dec 17, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Legia
2-0
Cracovia
Kun (46'), Kramer (86' pen.)
Pesqueira (40'), Celhaka (56'), Slisz (82'), Kramer (88'), Kapuadi (90+3')

Kakabadze (31'), Glik (33')