Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.