Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 15

Nov 10, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion MOS Poznan

Lech Poznan
5 - 2
Legia

Gholizadeh (4'), Kozubal (38'), Sousa (50', 69'), Ishak (58')
Gurgul (45+3'), Walemark (65'), Murawski (73')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Gual (28'), Augustyniak (45+2' pen.)
Luquinhas (50'), Urbanski (77'), Celhaka (90+1'), Celhaka (90+1')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-0 Lech Poznan
Saturday, November 2 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Legia Warsaw

All competitions

Polish Ekstraklasa

Last Game: Legia 4-0 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Legia Warsaw
40.32% ( -0.05)	25.54% ( 0.02)	34.13% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.47% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55% (

-0.06)

48.45% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42% (

-0.06)

70.58% (

0.05)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22% (

-0.05)

23.78% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.07% (

-0.07)

57.93% (

0.07)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

-0.01)

27.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35% (

-0.02)

62.64% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 40.33%

Legia Warsaw 34.13%

Draw 25.54%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Legia Warsaw
1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.33%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.13%