Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Nov 30, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz
Rakow

Widzew Lodz
2 - 3
Rakow

Sypek (3'), Rondic (56')
Krajewski (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Carlos (6'), Ivi (39'), Braut Brunes (90+4')
Arsenic (63')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Widzew Lodz and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-0 Widzew Lodz
Monday, November 25 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-1 Korona Kielce
Sunday, November 24 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
Widzew LodzDrawRakow Czestochowa
26.85% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)25.66% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)47.49% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.45% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48% (0.064 0.06)52% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (0.055 0.05)73.73% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)34.13% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)70.82% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.065999999999988 0.07)21.9% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.098000000000006 0.1)55.15% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Widzew Lodz 26.85%
    Rakow Czestochowa 47.49%
    Draw 25.66%
Widzew LodzDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 11.35%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.62% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.69% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.36% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.66% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 47.49%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 30
Widzew Lodz
0-1
Rakow

Alvarez (58'), Berggren (72')
Hanousek (15')
Kochergin (81')
Crnac (21'), Silva (45+2'), Papanikolaou (45+1'), Gikiewicz (90'), Kovacevic (90+4'), Kovacevic (90+4')
Oct 29, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
Rakow
1-1
Widzew Lodz
Carlos (66')
Cebula (87')
Zyro (3')
Shehu (12'), Hanousek (90+6')