Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 15

Nov 10, 2024 at 1.45pm UK

Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
2 - 2
Rakow

Imaz (68'), Pululu (90+11' pen.)
Pululu (31'), Moutinho (89'), Nene (89'), Sacek (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ivi (4' pen.), Arsenic (87')
Barath (73'), Svarnas (90+7'), Berggren (90+8')
Berggren (90+8')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Polish Ekstraklasa

Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Molde
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions

Last Game: Rakow 1-0 Stal Mielec
Saturday, November 2 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
31.66% ( 0.46)	26.36% ( -0.01)	41.98% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 52.06% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.49% (

0.18)

52.51% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.82% (

0.16)

74.18% (

-0.15)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17% (

0.41)

30.83% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.9% (

0.48)

67.1% (

-0.47)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25% (

-0.15)

24.74% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.7% (

-0.21)

59.3% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 31.66%

Rakow Czestochowa 41.98%

Draw 26.35%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.66%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.98%