Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.