Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Korona Kielce
52.07% ( -0.15)	24.05% ( 0.11)	23.87% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.61% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.22% (

-0.45)

47.78% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

-0.42)

69.97% (

0.42)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.67% (

-0.23)

18.33% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.57% (

-0.39)

49.42% (

0.39)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.64% (

-0.22)

34.36% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

-0.23)

71.06% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 52.07%

Korona Kielce 23.87%

Draw 24.05%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.07%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.05%	0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 23.87%