Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Petrocub Hincesti win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Petrocub Hincesti
53.95% ( 0.04)	22.98% ( 0)	23.07% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.16% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.05% (

-0.06)

43.95% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.66% (

-0.06)

66.34% (

0.06)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.77% (

-0.01)

16.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

-0.02)

45.75% (

0.02)

Petrocub Hincesti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04% (

-0.07)

32.96% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46% (

-0.07)

69.54% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 53.95%

Petrocub Hincesti 23.07%

Draw 22.98%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Petrocub Hincesti
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.95%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.98%	1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.07%