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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadionul CPTF

Petrocub
1 - 4
Pafos

Lungu (26' pen.)
Jardan (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Correia (33', 53'), Diego Alves de Brito (37'), Name (82')
Name (82'), Silva (90+1')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Petrocub Hincesti and Pafos FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Petrocub Hincesti

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Petrocub 1-2 Ludogorets
Thursday, August 29 at 6pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Pafos FC

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Pafos 3-0 CFR Cluj
Thursday, August 29 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pafos FC win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pafos FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Petrocub Hincesti win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pafos FC would win this match.

Result
Petrocub HincestiDrawPafos FC
31.82% (0.652 0.65)28.26% (0.281 0.28)39.93% (-0.931 -0.93)
Both teams to score 46.45% (-0.592 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36% (-0.835 -0.84)59.64% (0.838 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (-0.645 -0.65)79.97% (0.648 0.65)
Petrocub Hincesti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.4% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.033000000000001 0.03)71.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.931 -0.93)29.19% (0.933 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-1.162 -1.16)65.13% (1.166 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Petrocub Hincesti 31.81%
    Pafos FC 39.92%
    Draw 28.25%
Petrocub HincestiDrawPafos FC
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.187 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 31.81%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.04% (0.312 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 12.36% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 39.92%

How you voted: Petrocub vs Pafos

Petrocub Hincesti
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Pafos FC
37.5%
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