Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Petrocub Hincesti win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Petrocub Hincesti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Petrocub Hincesti would win this match.
-0.71) 
0.78) 
