Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Petrocub Hincesti win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Petrocub Hincesti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Petrocub Hincesti would win this match.

Result
Petrocub Hincesti	Draw	The New Saints
43.7% ( -0.71)	22.37% ( -0.06)	33.93% ( 0.78)

Both teams to score 67.04% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.66% (

0.59)

33.34% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.89% (

0.67)

55.11% (

-0.67)

Petrocub Hincesti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.04% (

-0.03)

15.96% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.75% (

-0.06)

45.25% (

0.07)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.78% (

0.68)

20.22% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.46% (

1.07)

52.55% (

-1.07)

Score Analysis

Petrocub Hincesti 43.7%

The New Saints 33.93%

Draw 22.37%

Petrocub Hincesti	Draw	The New Saints
2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.83% Total : 43.7%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.37%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.93%