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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
0 - 5
New Saints

FT(HT: 0-1)
McManus (27', 75'), Williams (47'), Horlock (85'), Smith (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-1 Bala Town
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 91.34%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 2.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (10.84%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.87%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 2-1 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawThe New Saints
2.48% (-0.1009 -0.1) 6.18% (-0.2511 -0.25) 91.34% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Both teams to score 43% (0.34 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.61% (0.884 0.88)19.39% (-0.887 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.78% (1.265 1.27)37.21% (-1.268 -1.27)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.04% (0.279 0.28)55.96% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.55% (0.156 0.16)88.45% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.64% (0.158 0.16)2.36% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.81% (0.59100000000001 0.59)11.19% (-0.593 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 2.48%
    The New Saints 91.33%
    Draw 6.18%
Cardiff MUDrawThe New Saints
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 2.48%
1-1 @ 2.87% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 1.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 1.32% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 6.18%
0-3 @ 11.57% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-4 @ 10.84%
0-2 @ 9.26% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-5 @ 8.13% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 6.72% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 6.3% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-6 @ 5.08% (0.176 0.18)
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-5 @ 4.72% (0.123 0.12)
1-6 @ 2.95% (0.127 0.13)
0-7 @ 2.72% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 1.83% (0.031 0.03)
1-7 @ 1.58% (0.094 0.09)
2-5 @ 1.37% (0.047 0.05)
0-8 @ 1.27% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 91.33%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 4
New Saints
4-0
Cardiff MU
B (16'), Young (22', 85' pen.), Clark (31')

Lang (12')
Lewis (81')
Jan 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
New Saints
8-0
Cardiff MU
Brobbel (29' pen., 41'), Young (36', 43', 62'), Cieslewicz (49'), McManus (61'), Holden (88')
Daniels (16')

Rees (29')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
1-5
New Saints
Clubb (35')
Vincent (31'), McCarthy (37'), Lewis (44'), Craven (75')
Evans (86')
Williams (16'), Young (24', 26'), Clark (69'), Brobbel (87' pen.)
Hudson (42'), Daniels (57'), Young (63')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
New Saints
7-1
Cardiff MU
McManus (8', 40'), Daniels (19'), Redmond (25'), Marriott (58'), Cieslewicz (75'), Dafydd (89')
Veale (4')
Feb 11, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff MU
3-2
New Saints
Baker (36', 68'), Evans (62')
Smith (7'), Wilson (12')
rhs 2.0
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