Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 1-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.