Champions League
Jul 23, 2024 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Groupama Arena
  • Adama Traore 16' goal
  • Adama Traore 21' goal
  • Kristoffer Zachariassen 24' goal
  • Adama Traore 54' goal
  • Marquinhos 62' goal
  • Marquinhos 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 50'

Ferencvaros vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

All competitions

The New Saints

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 58.16%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.53%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result

Ferencvaros 58.16% (+0.28)
Draw 20.61% (+0.01)
The New Saints 21.23% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.93% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.84% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 35.15% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 42.83% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 57.16% (+0.46)
Over 4.5 24.46% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 75.53% (+0.39)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5 88.03% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 11.96% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 62.64% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 37.35% (+0.11)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 70.34% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 29.65% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 34.3% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 65.69% (+0.59)

Score analysis

Ferencvaros 58.16%
Draw 20.61%
The New Saints 21.23%
Ferencvaros
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8% (+0.14)
1-0 @ 7.53% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.66% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.01% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 58.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.15% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.55% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.61%
The New Saints
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.31% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 21.23%