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Champions League

Ferencvaros
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Groupama Arena

Ferencvaros
5 - 0
New Saints

Traore (16', 21', 54'), Zachariassen (24'), Marquinhos (62' pen.)
Marquinhos (63')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Williams (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ferencvaros and The New Saints, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

All competitions
Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-2 West Ham
Monday, July 15 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

The New Saints

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Decic 1-1 New Saints
Tuesday, July 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 58.16%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.53%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawThe New Saints
58.16% (0.276 0.28)20.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.23% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 61.93% (-0.464 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.84% (-0.41000000000001 -0.41)35.15% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.83% (-0.458 -0.46)57.16% (0.454 0.45)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)11.96% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.64% (-0.113 -0.11)37.35% (0.107 0.11)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.486 -0.49)29.65% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (-0.591 -0.59)65.69% (0.58699999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 58.16%
    The New Saints 21.23%
    Draw 20.61%
FerencvarosDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 8% (0.132 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 58.16%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Ferencvaros vs New Saints

Ferencvaros
82.0%
Draw
6.6%
The New Saints
11.5%
61