Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 10.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Petrocub Hincesti win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.