Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Petrocub Hincesti win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Petrocub Hincesti
73.57%	16.33%	10.1%

Both teams to score 48.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.58%

38.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.29%

60.71%

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.99%

9.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.31%

30.69%

Petrocub Hincesti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.8%

46.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.13%

81.87%

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 73.56%

Petrocub Hincesti 10.1%

Draw 16.33%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Petrocub Hincesti
2-0 @ 12.05% 1-0 @ 10.01% 3-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 7.47% 4-0 @ 5.82% 4-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 2.89% 5-0 @ 2.8% 5-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.74% 6-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.02% Total : 73.56%	1-1 @ 7.74% 0-0 @ 4.16% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.84% Total : 16.33%	0-1 @ 3.21% 1-2 @ 2.99% 0-2 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.1%