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Champions League

Ludogorets
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Ludogorets
3 - 1
Dinamo Batumi

Tekpetey (13'), Rick (24'), Fonn Witry (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mamuchashvili (62')
Santos (32'), Kharabadze (45+1'), Ghudushauri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Dinamo Batumi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

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Last Game: Ludogorets 0-1 Servette
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Dinamo Batumi

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Last Game: Dinamo Batumi 1-2 KF Tirana
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Dinamo Batumi had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Dinamo Batumi win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawDinamo Batumi
55.85% (0.117 0.12)21.78% (-0.035 -0.04)22.37% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.36% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (0.058999999999997 0.06)39.28% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.39% (0.060000000000002 0.06)61.61% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (0.057000000000002 0.06)13.98% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51% (0.11199999999999 0.11)41.49% (-0.111 -0.11)
Dinamo Batumi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)30.99% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)67.29% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 55.85%
    Dinamo Batumi 22.37%
    Draw 21.78%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawDinamo Batumi
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 55.85%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 22.37%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Dinamo Batumi

Ludogorets Razgrad
84.2%
Draw
7.9%
Dinamo Batumi
7.9%
38