Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Varosi Stadion (Mezokovesd)
Ludogorets

Dinamo Minsk
1 - 0
Ludogorets

Bakhar (38')
Kalinin (21'), Selyava (41'), Demchenko (45'), Sedko (75'), Melnichenka (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bonmann (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Dinamo Minsk and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Dinamo Minsk had a probability of 14.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Dinamo Minsk win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo MinskDrawLudogorets Razgrad
14.59% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)21.07% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)64.33% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Both teams to score 47.01% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)48.44% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)70.58% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Dinamo Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.88% (-0.148 -0.15)45.11% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.97% (-0.119 -0.12)81.02% (0.113 0.11)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (0.007000000000005 0.01)14.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.79% (0.019999999999996 0.02)42.2% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Minsk 14.59%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 64.32%
    Draw 21.07%
Dinamo MinskDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 5.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 14.59%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 21.07%
0-1 @ 12.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 12.2% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.9% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 3.83% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 64.32%

How you voted: Dinamo Minsk vs Ludogorets

Dinamo Minsk
20.5%
Draw
23.1%
Ludogorets Razgrad
56.4%
39
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2024 7pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Ludogorets
2-0
Dinamo Minsk
Tekpetey (9'), Nedelev (45+1' pen.)
Nedyalkov (36'), Verdon (57'), Vidal (86')

Gavrilovich (18'), Selyava (20'), Pigas (24'), Melnichenka (41'), Palitsevich (45')
rhs 2.0


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