Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Neman had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.