Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.