Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.