Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dnepr Mogilev in this match.