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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 29
Nov 6, 2022 at 11am UK
 

Dnepr Mogilev
0 - 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk


Dunaev (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Myalkovskiy (30')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Dnepr Mogilev and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Minsk 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0-0 Belshina
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 55.5%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Dzerzhinsk would win this match.

Result
Dnepr MogilevDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
22.7% (0.179 0.18) 21.8% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 55.5% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 59.77% (0.552 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.05% (0.614 0.61)38.95% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.73% (0.645 0.65)61.27% (-0.64299999999999 -0.64)
Dnepr Mogilev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (0.5 0.5)30.51% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (0.588 0.59)66.73% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (0.181 0.18)13.98% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51% (0.349 0.35)41.49% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Dnepr Mogilev 22.7%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 55.5%
    Draw 21.8%
Dnepr MogilevDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.06% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.01% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.34% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.19% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 22.7%
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.067 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-2 @ 8.26% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 6.43% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.82% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 3.16% (0.033 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.88% (0.045 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.24% (0.021 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 55.5%

Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 3pm
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0
Dnepr Mogilev
Sazanovich (6')

Bordukov (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dinamo Minsk30208250133768
2Neman30205545192665
3Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ30188445212462
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest30147962372549
5Vitebsk30145113325847
6Gomel30111183728944
7IslochIsloch30118113630641
8BATE BorisovBATE30117123838040
9SlutskSlutsk30116132641-1539
10Arsenal Dzerzhinsk30108122936-738
11Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr30811112833-535
12Smorgon30711123351-1832
13FC MinskFC Minsk30610142844-1628
14Naftan30511142744-1726
15Dnepr Mogilev3039182758-3118
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk3057181945-262


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