Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.