Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.