Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.