Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 81.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 6.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-2 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.