Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 13.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.