Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.