Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 10.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.75%) and 0-3 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.