Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.