Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.46%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.