Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 28
Nov 12, 2023 at 10am UK
Stadyen Atlant

Naftan
0 - 7
BATE


Drabatovich (77')
FT(HT: 0-5)
Podstrelov (8'), Laptev (14', 32'), Kontsevoy (17', 86'), Antsilevski (20'), Chernook (85')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Naftan and BATE Borisov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: Naftan 2-1 Slutsk
Saturday, November 4 at 10am in Belarusian Premier League

BATE Borisov

All competitions
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 0-1 BATE
Thursday, November 2 at 3.45pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 63.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.

Result
NaftanDrawBATE Borisov
16.05% (0.445 0.45)20.4% (0.193 0.19)63.54% (-0.645 -0.65)
Both teams to score 52.6% (0.388 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)42.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.32% (0.572 0.57)39.67% (-0.57700000000001 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.64% (0.527 0.53)76.35% (-0.533 -0.53)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.19 -0.19)12.79% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89% (-0.386 -0.39)39.1% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Naftan 16.05%
    BATE Borisov 63.54%
    Draw 20.4%
NaftanDrawBATE Borisov
1-0 @ 4.69% (0.073 0.07)
2-1 @ 4.46% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 2.17% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.37% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 16.05%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.08%
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.4%
0-2 @ 10.73% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.35% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-3 @ 6.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.78% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 3.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 63.54%

Head to Head
Jun 25, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 13
BATE
1-2
Naftan
Bane (16')
Bane (90+4'), Volkov (90+2')
Volkov (90+4'), Volkov (90+5')
Pukhov (19'), Kirilenko (81')
Sidor (15'), Tamelo (61'), Bruy (69'), Slepov (86')
Slepov (90+4')