Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.