Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Dinamo Brest win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.