Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.