Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Brest win with a probability of 73.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 9.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Brest win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.