Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 4

Apr 14, 2024 at 12pm UK

Stadyen Atlant

Naftan
1 - 1
Smorgon

Marukhin (63')
Suchkov (31'), Kharitonovich (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Shubovich (90+5')
Kopytich (90+5')

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Naftan and Smorgon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Naftan

All competitions

Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-2 Naftan
Sunday, April 7 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Smorgon

All competitions

Last Game: FC Minsk 2-3 Smorgon
Friday, April 5 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Naftan win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Naftan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Naftan	Draw	Smorgon
39.28% ( -0.13)	24.76% ( -0.03)	35.96% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 58.53% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.37% (

0.14)

44.63% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.01% (

0.14)

66.99% (

-0.14)

Naftan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

-0)

22.62% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.76% (

-0)

56.24% (

Smorgon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64% (

0.15)

24.36% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23% (

0.21)

58.77% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Naftan 39.28%

Smorgon 35.96%

Draw 24.76%

Naftan	Draw	Smorgon
2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.28%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 35.96%