Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Apr 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion FK Minsk

FC Minsk
2 - 3
Smorgon

Malashevich (41'), Zabelin (61' pen.)
Mikhalenko (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
John (33'), Leonovich (45', 63')
John (81')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between FC Minsk and Smorgon.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Minsk

All competitions
Last Game: FC Minsk 0-0 Dinamo Minsk
Sunday, March 31 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 4-1 Smorgon
Friday, March 29 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
FC MinskDrawSmorgon
53.66% (-1.258 -1.26)24.05% (0.528 0.53)22.28% (0.729 0.73)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.671 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (-1.373 -1.37)49.35% (1.372 1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (-1.249 -1.25)71.4% (1.247 1.25)
FC Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-0.976 -0.98)18.31% (0.975 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (-1.68 -1.68)49.4% (1.679 1.68)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)36.68% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)73.47% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    FC Minsk 53.66%
    Smorgon 22.28%
    Draw 24.04%
FC MinskDrawSmorgon
1-0 @ 11.4% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.226 -0.23)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.369 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.359 0.36)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 22.28%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 27
Smorgon
0-0
FC Minsk
Koval (24'), M'pomezok (63')
Jun 10, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 12
FC Minsk
2-1
Smorgon
Dusheuski (24'), Martynov (39')
Rassadkin (85')
Camara (23'), Gaevoy (80'), Kovalevich (83')
Nov 28, 2021 10am
Gameweek 30
Smorgon
1-0
FC Minsk
Nuradin (25')
Frantsev (45'), Zadi Zokou (62'), Camara (68')
Jul 2, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 15
FC Minsk
2-2
Smorgon
Aliseiko (2'), Muniru (72')
Zadi Zokou (43'), Senkevich (45+1')
Savostyanov (49'), Ignatenko (90')