UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 25, 2024 at 5pm UK

Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Zalgiris
2 - 1
Pafos

(Pafos FC win 4-2 on aggregate)

Antal (17', 26')
Golubickas (61'), Ors Gyorgy Tordai (90'), Larsson (90+5'), Hodzic (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Moutachy (62' og.)
Pelagio (57'), Rovaris Dall'Igna (90+6'), Bruno (90+9')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between FK Zalgiris and Pafos FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 VPS
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Pafos FC

Last Game: Pafos 2-5 Elfsborg
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.

Result
FK Zalgiris	Draw	Pafos FC
53.96% ( 0)	23.16% ( -0)	22.88% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.33% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07% (

-0)

44.93% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.72%

67.28% (

-0)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.42%

16.58% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.63% (

46.37% (

-0.01)

Pafos FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

-0)

33.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

-0)

70.31% (

Score Analysis

FK Zalgiris 53.95%

Pafos FC 22.88%

Draw 23.15%

FK Zalgiris	Draw	Pafos FC
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.88% 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.95%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.15%	0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.31% 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 22.88%