Europa League
Jul 11, 2024 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Boras Arena
  • Besfort Zeneli 9' goal
  • Timothy Ouma 12' yellowcard
  • Niklas Hult 59' goal
  • Per Frick 82' goal
  • Andri Baldursson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Melluso 26'
  • yellowcard Jairo 38'
  • redcard Matias Melluso 57'

Elfsborg vs Pafos FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions

Pafos FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 56.14%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 22.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result

Elfsborg 56.14% (+0.03)
Draw 21.29% (-0.01)
Pafos FC 22.58% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.46% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.34% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 36.66% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 41.18% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 58.81% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 23.1% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.9% (-0.03)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5 86.98% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 13.02% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 60.43% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 39.57% (-0.03)

Pafos FC Goals

Over 0.5 70.66% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.33% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.69% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.31% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Elfsborg 56.14%
Draw 21.29%
Pafos FC 22.58%
Elfsborg
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 7.94%
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.37% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 56.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.29%
Pafos FC
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 22.58%