MX23RW : Tuesday, June 18 15:39:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
May 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Swedbank Stadion

Malmo
2 - 1
Elfsborg

Bolin (40'), Kiese Thelin (57')
Botheim (21'), Pena (26'), Kiese Thelin (63'), Larsson (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zeneli (9')
Kaib (50'), Jebara (82'), Busanello (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Kalmar
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Halmstad
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Malmo 3-1 Elfsborg

Although Elfsborg have been competitive at the top of the table in recent years they have been notably weaker this campaign. While the visitors did win 3-1 in the reverse fixture it is difficult to ignore Malmo's consistently strong performances across the season as a whole, and their quality should bring them a positive result on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 11.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawElfsborg
70.22% (0.145 0.14) 17.82% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 11.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.26% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (0.066000000000003 0.07)40.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (0.064999999999998 0.06)62.53% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.74% (0.052999999999997 0.05)10.26% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.37% (0.122 0.12)33.63% (-0.122 -0.12)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.01% (-0.1 -0.1)43.99% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)80.12% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 70.21%
    Elfsborg 11.96%
    Draw 17.82%
MalmoDrawElfsborg
2-0 @ 11.7% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.88% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.29% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.05% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.15% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.3% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.89% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 70.21%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.82%
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 11.96%

How you voted: Malmo vs Elfsborg

Malmo
75.4%
Draw
10.8%
Elfsborg
13.8%
65
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 7
Elfsborg
3-1
Malmo
Zeneli (34'), Hedlund (63'), Olsson (74' og.)
Abdulai (25'), Ouma (72'), Larsson (79'), Hult (90+3'), Bundgaard Sorensen (90+5')
Jorgensen (80')
Rosengren (51'), Christiansen (90+1'), Rieks (90+2'), Tinnerholm (90+5')
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Malmo
1-0
Elfsborg
Kiese Thelin (57' pen.)
Rieks (21'), Busanello (28'), Jansson (43'), Berg Johnsen (51'), Pena (81')

Frick (28'), Baidoo (73')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Elfsborg
3-0
Malmo
Aron Gudjohnsen (32'), Lagerbielke (36'), Okkels (54')
Romer (73'), Ondrejka (90+5')

Larsson (59'), Cornelius (70'), Busanello (72')
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 21
Elfsborg
3-2
Malmo
Baidoo (11' pen., 73'), Romer (79')
Kiese Thelin (42', 65')
Apr 11, 2022 6.10pm
Gameweek 2
Malmo
1-1
Elfsborg
Olsson (50')
Frick (58'), Zanden (60')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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