Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 11.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Elfsborg
70.22% ( 0.14)	17.82% ( -0.06)	11.96% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 50.26% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.84% (

0.07)

40.16% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.47% (

0.06)

62.53% (

-0.07)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.74% (

0.05)

10.26% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.37% (

0.12)

33.63% (

-0.12)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.01% (

-0.1)

43.99% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.88% (

-0.08)

80.12% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Malmo 70.21%

Elfsborg 11.96%

Draw 17.82%

Malmo	Draw	Elfsborg
2-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 4.37% Total : 70.21%	1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 17.82%	0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 11.96%