Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.