Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 30
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Swedbank Stadion

Malmo
1 - 0
Elfsborg

Kiese Thelin (57' pen.)
Rieks (21'), Busanello (28'), Jansson (43'), Berg Johnsen (51'), Pena (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Frick (28'), Baidoo (73')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Elfsborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Last Game: Hacken 4-2 Malmo
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Elfsborg

All competitions
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-2 Degerfors
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malmo in this match.

Result
MalmoDrawElfsborg
55.62%22.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)21.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.41% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)44.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (0.0039999999999907 0)34.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (0.004999999999999 0)71.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 55.61%
    Elfsborg 21.67%
    Draw 22.72%
MalmoDrawElfsborg
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.07%
3-0 @ 5.7%
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-0 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.03%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 55.61%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.81%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 21.67%

How you voted: Malmo vs Elfsborg

Malmo
57.1%
Draw
42.9%
Elfsborg
0.0%
7
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Elfsborg
3-0
Malmo
Aron Gudjohnsen (32'), Lagerbielke (36'), Okkels (54')
Romer (73'), Ondrejka (90+5')

Larsson (59'), Cornelius (70'), Busanello (72')
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 21
Elfsborg
3-2
Malmo
Baidoo (11' pen., 73'), Romer (79')
Kiese Thelin (42', 65')
Apr 11, 2022 6.10pm
Gameweek 2
Malmo
1-1
Elfsborg
Birmancevic (39')
Christiansen (25'), Kiese Thelin (36'), Hadzikadunic (71')
Olsson (50')
Frick (58'), Zanden (60')
Sep 22, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 20
Elfsborg
0-1
Malmo

Holst (33'), Frick (45'), Romer (50'), Larsson (57')
Larsson (76' og.)
Nalic (31'), Brorsson (35'), Larsson (81')
May 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Malmo
2-1
Elfsborg
Inge Berget (27'), Birmancevic (64')
Nielsen (75')
Frick (50')
Vaisanen (37')