Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 25
Oct 2, 2023 at 6.10pm UK
Swedbank Stadion
Brommapojkarna

Malmo
2 - 1
Brommapojkarna

Nanasi (8'), Cornelius (13')
Kiese Thelin (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pettersson (51')
Ackermann (27'), Sogaard (38'), Holm (79'), Jensen (90+2')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Brommapojkarna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Degerfors 1-2 Malmo
Saturday, September 23 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 2-2 Norrkoping
Saturday, September 23 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 74.94%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Brommapojkarna had a probability of 10.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Brommapojkarna win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawBrommapojkarna
74.94% (0.146 0.15)15.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)10.05% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.1% (-0.45 -0.45)31.89% (0.446 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.55% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53)53.44% (0.526 0.53)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.83% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)7.16% (0.074 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.95% (-0.194 -0.19)26.04% (0.19 0.19)
Brommapojkarna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.26% (-0.593 -0.59)41.74% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.79% (-0.523 -0.52)78.21% (0.52099999999999 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 74.93%
    Brommapojkarna 10.05%
    Draw 15.01%
MalmoDrawBrommapojkarna
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 9.13% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.16 0.16)
4-0 @ 6.02% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 5.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 3.17% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 1.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 74.93%
1-1 @ 6.89% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.99% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.01%
1-2 @ 3.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 2.61% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.05%

How you voted: Malmo vs Brommapojkarna

Malmo
100%
Draw
0.0%
Brommapojkarna
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Brommapojkarna
1-2
Malmo
Jensen (17')
Kiese Thelin (80', 90+2')
Sep 2, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 20
Brommapojkarna
0-3
Malmo

Finnbogason (42'), Omondi (79')
Rieks (24'), Larsson (62'), Antonsson (63')
Nielsen (52'), Innocent (72')
Apr 23, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 5
Malmo
3-1
Brommapojkarna
Rosenberg (40', 70'), Rieks (85')
Strandberg (84')
Ajeti (64' pen.)
Jeahze (17'), Petrovic (40'), Omondi (56'), Figueroa (89'), Ajeti (90')