Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 24
Sep 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stora Valla
Malmo

Degerfors
1 - 2
Malmo

Campos (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vecchia (42'), Pena (60')
Cornelius (65'), Lewicki (77')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Degerfors and Malmo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Degerfors

All competitions
Last Game: AIK 2-0 Degerfors
Monday, September 18 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Malmo

All competitions
Last Game: Hammarby 1-3 Malmo
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Degerfors win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
DegerforsDrawMalmo
13.27% (0.066000000000001 0.07)17.91% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.82% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.13% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.81%37.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.61%59.39%
Degerfors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.02% (0.097000000000001 0.1)39.98% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.36% (0.09 0.09)76.64% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.2% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)9.8% (0.0219 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)32.58% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Degerfors 13.27%
    Malmo 68.82%
    Draw 17.91%
DegerforsDrawMalmo
2-1 @ 3.83% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 13.27%
1-1 @ 8.35% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.92%
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.91%
0-2 @ 10.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 4.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 4.36% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.44% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2% (0.002 0)
2-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 68.82%

Head to Head
Jun 5, 2023 6.10pm
Gameweek 11
Malmo
5-0
Degerfors
Larsson (17'), Nanasi (45+9', 62'), Vecchia (68'), Busanello (75')
Cornelius (20'), Rydstrom (21'), Larsson (51')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Malmo
2-2
Degerfors
Larsson (18'), Kiese Thelin (61')
Faraj (37'), Orqvist (64')
May 29, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 10
Degerfors
0-2
Malmo

Campos (22'), Carlen (61')
Toivonen (4', 44')
Toivonen (17'), Rakip (30')
Aug 21, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
Malmo
3-0
Degerfors
Birmancevic (43'), Abubakari (69'), Christiansen (88')

Lindahl (72')
Jul 17, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 11
Degerfors
0-5
Malmo

Janevski (90+3')
Colak (17'), Nalic (45'), Christiansen (51'), Birmancevic (53', 55')
Christiansen (29'), Innocent (39'), Rakip (87'), Malik Abubakari (90+1')