Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 23
Sep 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Tele2 Arena
Malmo

Hammarby
1 - 3
Malmo

Dukanovic (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Berg (19'), Vecchia (40'), Rosengren (74')
Rieks (41'), Vecchia (44'), Rosengren (84')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Hammarby and Malmo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hammarby

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 4-2 AIK
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Malmo

All competitions
Last Game: Malmo 2-2 Goteborg
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-0 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
HammarbyDrawMalmo
25.15% (-1.311 -1.31)23.67% (-0.227 -0.23)51.18% (1.539 1.54)
Both teams to score 56.24% (-0.516 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)44.96% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)67.32% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-1.089 -1.09)31.75% (1.089 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-1.272 -1.27)68.18% (1.274 1.27)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.55 0.55)17.61% (-0.55 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (0.948 0.95)48.19% (-0.947 -0.95)
Score Analysis
    Hammarby 25.15%
    Malmo 51.18%
    Draw 23.67%
HammarbyDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 25.15%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.212 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.43% (0.33 0.33)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.154 0.15)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.275 0.27)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.109 0.11)
0-4 @ 2.12% (0.155 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.18%

How you voted: Hammarby vs Malmo

Hammarby
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Malmo
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
Malmo
4-2
Hammarby
Vecchia (15'), Kiese Thelin (36', 43', 59')
Dukanovic (58'), Nalic (73')
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 24
Malmo
0-0
Hammarby
May 2, 2022 6.10pm
Gameweek 6
Hammarby
0-0
Malmo
Jeahze (30'), Bojanic (41')
Rakip (75')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hammarby
2-1
Malmo
Ludwigson (2'), Seljmani (68')
Seljmani (86')
Paulsen (6' og.)
Inge Berget (77')
Apr 10, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 1
Malmo
3-2
Hammarby
Christiansen (36' pen.), Rieks (40'), Knudsen (90')
Innocent (9')
Ludwigson (20'), Khalili (45+7')
Fenger (27'), Outtara Mohammed (90+3')