Swedish Allsvenskan
Gameweek
17
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-
Isaac Kiese Thelin
24'
-
Oscar Lewicki
49'
-
Gabriel Busanello
52'
-
Soren Rieks
73'
-
Isaac Kiese Thelin
90'+3'
-
Hugo Bolin
90'+3'
-
Oscar Johansson
27'
-
Victor Larsson
43'
-
Frank Junior Adjei
88'
Malmo vs Varnamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 12.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
Result
Malmo
70.15%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
17.64%
▲
(+0.02)
Varnamo
12.21%
▼
(-0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
51.79%
▼
(-0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.41%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 2.5
38.59%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 3.5
39.11%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 3.5
60.89%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 4.5
21.43%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 4.5
78.57%
▲
(+0.48)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5
90.14%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
9.86%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
67.3%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 1.5
32.7%
▲
(+0.26)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5
57.45%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 0.5
42.54%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 1.5
21.1%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 1.5
78.9%
▲
(+0.57)
Score analysis
Malmo
70.15%
Draw
17.64%
Varnamo
12.21%
Malmo
2-0
@
11.25%
▲
(+0.19)
1-0 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 70.15%
1-0 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 70.15%
Draw
1-1
@
8.31%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 17.64%
0-0 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 17.64%
Varnamo
0-1
@
3.59%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 12.21%
1-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 12.21%