MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 05:55:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmo)

Malmo
3 - 0
Sirius

Kiese Thelin (5', 47' pen.), Nanasi (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nwadike (44'), Sjogrell (89')
Nwadike (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Sirius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varnamo 1-3 Malmo
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 2-0 Goteborg
Sunday, June 11 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Malmo 2-1 Sirius

In their 12 meetings with Malmo since their promotion, Sirius have only managed to secure one victory, which occurred in their previous encounter last season at the Studenternas IP. However, Malmo come into this fixture in superior form and boast an impeccable home record, in contrast to Sirius, who have struggled with inconsistency in their away performances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawSirius
66.5% (-5.497 -5.5) 18.62% (2.083 2.08) 14.87% (3.407 3.41)
Both teams to score 56.05% (2.647 2.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.15% (-1.564 -1.56)36.85% (1.556 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.97% (-1.715 -1.72)59.02% (1.708 1.71)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (-1.701 -1.7)10.28% (1.694 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.33% (-4.008 -4.01)33.67% (4.001 4)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (4.053 4.05)37.52% (-4.06 -4.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (3.76 3.76)74.3% (-3.767 -3.77)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 66.5%
    Sirius 14.87%
    Draw 18.62%
MalmoDrawSirius
2-0 @ 9.98% (-0.768 -0.77)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.343 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.57% (-1.236 -1.24)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.306 -0.31)
4-0 @ 4.31% (-1.099 -1.1)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.522 -0.52)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.247 0.25)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.694 -0.69)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.408 -0.41)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 66.5%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.911 0.91)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.653 0.65)
0-0 @ 3.86% (0.287 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.196 0.2)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.62%
1-2 @ 4.22% (0.841 0.84)
0-1 @ 3.78% (0.648 0.65)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.478 0.48)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.355 0.36)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.39 0.39)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 14.87%

How you voted: Malmo vs Sirius

Malmo
94.1%
Draw
0.0%
Sirius
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 17
Sirius
2-1
Malmo
Mathisen (45'), Kouakou (57')
Mathisen (15'), Voelkerling-Persson (49'), Bjorkstrom (72')
Jul 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Malmo
3-1
Sirius
Sejdiu (33', 89'), Zeidan (52')
Rogic (87' pen.)
Widgren (18'), Stensson (32')
Widgren (49')
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 26
Sirius
2-3
Malmo
Girmai (51'), Sylisufaj (53')
Widgren (89')
Inge Berget (49' pen.), Colak (76', 90+2')
Ahmedhodzic (20'), Rieks (45'), Innocent (51'), Abubakari (53'), Dahlin (54'), Larsson (75'), Colak (90+3')
Jul 10, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Malmo
4-0
Sirius
Colak (1'), Rieks (22'), Birmancevic (88'), Christiansen (90+3')
Birmancevic (83'), Nalic (90+1')

Colley (38'), Bjorkstrom (56'), Mathisen (60')
Nov 8, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Malmo
4-0
Sirius
Kiese Thelin (3'), Christiansen (8'), Toivonen (15'), Larsson (76')
Inge Berget (63'), Rakip (69')

Shabani (38'), Andersson (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo87012241821
2Djurgardens IFDjurgarden8512147716
3HackenHacken85121711616
4GAISGAIS85031111015
5Mjallby AIF8422149514
6AIK FotbollAIK84221513214
7HammarbyHammarby84041311212
8Halmstads BKHalmstad84041015-512
9BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna82421412210
10SiriusSirius8314911-210
11ElfsborgElfsborg83141114-310
12IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping83141220-810
13Varnamo8224815-78
14IFK GoteborgGoteborg8215712-57
15KalmarKalmar82061418-46
16Vasteras SKVasteras8107311-83


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