Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 13
Malmo
Jul 1, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Eleda Stadion (Malmo)
Sirius
  • Isaac Kiese Thelin 5' goal
  • Isaac Kiese Thelin 47' goal
  • Sebastian Nanasi 55' goal

Malmo vs Sirius - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Jun 10, 2023 2.00pm
Varnamo 1 - 3 Malmo
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Isaac Kiese Thelin

Sirius

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Jun 11, 2023 2.00pm
Sirius 2 - 0 Goteborg
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Joakim Persson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result

Malmo 66.5% ▼ (-5.50)
Draw 18.62% ▲ (+2.09)
Sirius 14.87% ▲ (+3.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.05% ▲ (+2.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.15% ▼ (-1.57)
Under 2.5 36.85% ▲ (+1.56)
Over 3.5 40.97% ▼ (-1.72)
Under 3.5 59.02% ▲ (+1.71)
Over 4.5 22.93% ▼ (-1.42)
Under 4.5 77.07% ▲ (+1.41)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5 89.72% ▼ (-1.71)
Under 0.5 10.28% ▲ (+1.70)
Over 1.5 66.33% ▼ (-4.01)
Under 1.5 33.67% ▲ (+4.01)

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5 62.48% ▲ (+4.06)
Under 0.5 37.52% ▼ (-4.07)
Over 1.5 25.7% ▲ (+3.77)
Under 1.5 74.3% ▼ (-3.77)

Score analysis

Malmo 66.5%
Draw 18.62%
Sirius 14.87%
Malmo
2-0 @ 9.98% ▼ (-0.77)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.35)
1-0 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-1.24)
3-1 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.31)
4-0 @ 4.31% ▼ (-1.10)
4-1 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.53)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.25)
4-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.70)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.41)
Other @ 4.87%
Total : 66.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.92)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.66)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-98.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.62%
Sirius
1-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.85)
0-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.65)
0-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.48)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.36)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-97.33)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 14.87%

Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 17
Sirius
Aug 7, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Malmo
  • Marcus Mathisen 15' yellowcard
  • Marcus Mathisen 45' goal
  • Jakob Voelkerling-Persson 49' yellowcard
  • Christian Kouakou 57' goal
  • Tim Bjorkstrom 72' yellowcard
  • goal Jo Inge Berget 18'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 15
Malmo
Jul 23, 2022 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Sirius
  • Patriot Sejdiu 33' goal
  • Moustafa Zeidan 52' goal
  • Patriot Sejdiu 89' goal
  • yellowcard Dennis Widgren 18'
  • yellowcard Daniel Stensson 32'
  • redcard Dennis Widgren 49'
  • goal Filip Rogic 87'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 26
Sirius
Oct 30, 2021 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Malmo
  • Nahom Girmai 51' goal
  • Edi Sylisufaj 53' goal
  • Dennis Widgren 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anel Ahmedhodzic 20'
  • yellowcard Soren Rieks 45'
  • goal Jo Inge Berget 49'
  • yellowcard Bonke Innocent 51'
  • yellowcard Malik Abubakari 53'
  • yellowcard Johan Dahlin 54'
  • yellowcard Eric Larsson 75'
  • goal Antonio-Mirko Colak 76'
  • goal Antonio-Mirko Colak 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Antonio-Mirko Colak 90'+3'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 10
Malmo
Jul 10, 2021 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Sirius
  • Antonio-Mirko Colak 1' goal
  • Soren Rieks 22' goal
  • Veljko Birmancevic 83' yellowcard
  • Veljko Birmancevic 88' goal
  • Adi Nalic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Anders Christiansen 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Joseph Colley 38'
  • yellowcard Tim Bjorkstrom 56'
  • yellowcard Marcus Mathisen 60'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 27
Malmo
Nov 8, 2020 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Sirius
  • Isaac Kiese Thelin 3' goal
  • Anders Christiansen 8' goal
  • Ola Toivonen 15' goal
  • Jo Inge Berget 63' yellowcard
  • Erdal Rakip 69' yellowcard
  • Eric Larsson 76' goal
  • yellowcard Laorent Shabani 38'
  • yellowcard Elias Andersson 59'
Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 11
Sirius
Jul 26, 2020 4.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 0
FT Studenternas IP
Malmo
  • Mohammed Saeid 18' goal
  • Stefano Vecchia 56' goal
  • Adam Hellborg 63' yellowcard
  • goal Elias Andersson 51' (OG)
  • yellowcard Anders Christiansen 58'
  • goal Ola Toivonen 65'
  • goal Isaac Kiese Thelin 85'
  • goal Jo Inge Berget 90'
  • goal Soren Rieks 90'+4'

Form Data

Varnamo 1 - 3 Malmo
Malmo 5 - 0 Degerfors
Elfsborg 3 - 0 Malmo
Malmo 2 - 2 Hacken
Halmstad 0 - 1 Malmo
Malmo 3 - 1 AIK
Sirius 2 - 0 Goteborg
Sirius 2 - 0 Varnamo
Brommapojkarna 1 - 2 Sirius
Sirius 1 - 2 Halmstad
Mjallby AIF 3 - 0 Sirius
Sirius 3 - 4 Elfsborg