Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Sirius
66.5% ( -5.5)	18.62% ( 2.08)	14.87% ( 3.41)

Both teams to score 56.05% (

2.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.15% (

-1.56)

36.85% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.97% (

-1.72)

59.02% (

1.71)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.72% (

-1.7)

10.28% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.33% (

-4.01)

33.67% (

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.48% (

4.05)

37.52% (

-4.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.7% (

3.76)

74.3% (

-3.77)

Score Analysis

Malmo 66.5%

Sirius 14.87%

Draw 18.62%

Malmo	Draw	Sirius
2-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.77) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.57% ( -1.24) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( -1.1) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.52) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.69) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.41) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.92% Total : 66.5%	1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.91) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.65) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.62%	1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.84) 0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.39) Other @ 2.08% Total : 14.87%

How you voted: Malmo vs Sirius

Malmo

94.1%

Draw

0.0%

Sirius

5.9%

Head to Head

Aug 7, 2022 2pm

Gameweek 17

Sirius

2-1

Malmo

Mathisen (45'), Kouakou (57')
Mathisen (15'), Voelkerling-Persson (49'), Bjorkstrom (72')

Inge Berget (18')

Jul 23, 2022 2pm

Gameweek 15

Malmo

3-1

Sirius

Sejdiu (33', 89'), Zeidan (52')

Rogic (87' pen.)
Widgren (18'), Stensson (32')
Widgren (49')

Oct 30, 2021 2pm

Gameweek 26

Sirius

2-3

Malmo

Girmai (51'), Sylisufaj (53')
Widgren (89')

Inge Berget (49' pen.), Colak (76', 90+2')
Ahmedhodzic (20'), Rieks (45'), Innocent (51'), Abubakari (53'), Dahlin (54'), Larsson (75'), Colak (90+3')

Jul 10, 2021 2pm

Gameweek 10

Malmo

4-0

Sirius

Colak (1'), Rieks (22'), Birmancevic (88'), Christiansen (90+3')
Birmancevic (83'), Nalic (90+1')

Colley (38'), Bjorkstrom (56'), Mathisen (60')

Nov 8, 2020 4.30pm

Gameweek 27

Malmo

4-0

Sirius