MX23RW : Monday, May 13 00:02:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
Finnvedsvallen
Malmo

Varnamo
1 - 3
Malmo

Engvall (2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ali (35', 75'), Nanasi (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sirius 2-0 Varnamo
Sunday, June 4 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Degerfors
Monday, June 5 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Varnamo 0-1 Malmo

Malmo are tipped to get a slender win over their bogey side Varnamo, having failed to score against them in both meetings last season, thus ending that winless run at the third time of asking to ward off Elfsborg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
VarnamoDrawMalmo
20.54% (0.171 0.17) 22.65% (0.067 0.07) 56.82% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48% (-0.061 -0.06)45.52% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.85% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (0.141 0.14)36.24% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (0.14 0.14)73.02% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)15.8% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.05% (-0.186 -0.19)44.95% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 20.54%
    Malmo 56.81%
    Draw 22.64%
VarnamoDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.037 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.44% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.84% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 20.54%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.64%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 9.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 56.81%

How you voted: Varnamo vs Malmo

Varnamo
17.9%
Draw
14.3%
Malmo
67.9%
28
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Apr 21, 2022 6pm
gameweek 4
Varnamo
0-0
Malmo

Nasstrom (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo76011941518
2Djurgardens IFDjurgarden8512147716
3HackenHacken85121711616
4GAISGAIS85031111015
5Mjallby AIF8422149514
6AIK FotbollAIK84221513214
7HammarbyHammarby84041311212
8Halmstads BKHalmstad84041015-512
9BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna82421412210
10SiriusSirius8314911-210
11ElfsborgElfsborg83141114-310
12IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping83141220-810
13Varnamo8224815-78
14IFK GoteborgGoteborg721479-27
15KalmarKalmar82061418-46
16Vasteras SKVasteras8107311-83


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