MX23RW : Thursday, November 30 15:04:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
Finnvedsvallen
Malmo
Varnamo
1 - 3
Malmo
Engvall (2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ali (35', 75'), Nanasi (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sirius 2-0 Varnamo
Sunday, June 4 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Degerfors
Monday, June 5 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Varnamo 0-1 Malmo

Malmo are tipped to get a slender win over their bogey side Varnamo, having failed to score against them in both meetings last season, thus ending that winless run at the third time of asking to ward off Elfsborg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
VarnamoDrawMalmo
20.54% (0.171 0.17) 22.65% (0.067 0.07) 56.82% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48% (-0.061 -0.06)45.52% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.85% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (0.141 0.14)36.24% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (0.14 0.14)73.02% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)15.8% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.05% (-0.186 -0.19)44.95% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 20.54%
    Malmo 56.81%
    Draw 22.64%
VarnamoDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.037 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.44% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.84% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 20.54%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.64%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 9.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 56.81%

How you voted: Varnamo vs Malmo

Varnamo
17.9%
Draw
14.3%
Malmo
67.9%
28
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Apr 21, 2022 6pm
gameweek 4
Varnamo
0-0
Malmo

Nasstrom (25')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30204662273564
2ElfsborgElfsborg30204659263364
3HackenHacken30183969393057
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30155104136550
5Varnamo30143133734345
6KalmarKalmar30136113540-545
7HammarbyHammarby30111184139244
8SiriusSirius30126125144742
9IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping30125134545041
10Mjallby AIF30125133234-241
11AIK FotbollAIK3099123438-436
12Halmstads BKHalmstad3099123044-1436
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30810123337-434
14BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30103174053-1333
15Degerfors3075183062-3226
16Varbergs BoISVarbergs3036212667-4115

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!