Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.