Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 6
May 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Påskbergsvallen
Malmo

Varbergs
0 - 6
Malmo

FT(HT: 0-3)
Larsson (3'), Rieks (5'), Nanasi (11', 49', 83' pen.), Ali (59')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Malmo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varbergs BoIS

All competitions
Last Game: Varbergs 0-0 Kalmar
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Malmo

All competitions
Last Game: Malmo 4-2 Hammarby
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Varbergs BoISDrawMalmo
19.23% (-0.311 -0.31)23.08% (-0.147 -0.15)57.69% (0.457 0.46)
Both teams to score 50.22% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (0.18 0.18)49.09% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (0.162 0.16)71.16% (-0.163 -0.16)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)39.67% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65% (-0.22 -0.22)76.35% (0.21900000000001 0.22)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (0.22399999999999 0.22)16.75% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.32% (0.4 0.4)46.68% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Varbergs BoIS 19.23%
    Malmo 57.68%
    Draw 23.07%
Varbergs BoISDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 6.14% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-1 @ 5.08% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.84% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.56% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 19.23%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 11.87%
0-2 @ 10.6% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.32% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.84% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.82% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.61% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.029 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 57.68%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 29
Varbergs
2-5
Malmo
Birkfeldt (54'), Simovic (73')
Toivonen (44', 52', 55'), Rieks (64'), Buya Turay (88')
Pena (16')
Jul 9, 2022 2pm
gameweek 13
Malmo
3-0
Varbergs
Inge Berget (45+6' pen.), Christiansen (64'), Birmancevic (87')
Birmancevic (70')

Stanisic (60'), Lushaku (78'), Birkfeldt (81')
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 24
Varbergs
1-1
Malmo
Simovic (29')
Matthews (21'), Ejupi (32'), Stanisic (55'), Carlos de Brito (78'), Johansson (84')
Birmancevic (43')
Pena (53'), Nalic (90+3'), Abubakari (90+5')
May 9, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 5
Malmo
3-2
Varbergs
Birmancevic (12'), Nielsen (61'), Rieks (79')
Nalic (49'), Inge Berget (80')
Stanisic (26'), Adjei (81')
Simovic (34'), Le Roux (52'), Mensah (56'), Winbo (86')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
gameweek 29
Varbergs
3-2
Malmo
Ayer (25'), Barny (52'), Seljmani (80')
Seljmani (34')
Nielsen (64'), Larsson (90+3')
Nielsen (78')
rhs 2.0


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