Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.