Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malmo in this match.