Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 5
Apr 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Swedbank Stadion
Hammarby

Malmo
4 - 2
Hammarby

Vecchia (15'), Kiese Thelin (36', 43', 59')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Dukanovic (58'), Nalic (73')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Hammarby.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malmo 3-0 Norrkoping
Monday, April 24 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 2-0 Varbergs
Saturday, April 22 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hammarby had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Hammarby win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawHammarby
53.41% (0.072000000000003 0.07)23.79% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)22.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.16% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (0.228 0.23)47.76% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (0.211 0.21)69.95% (-0.206 -0.21)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.18% (0.11500000000001 0.12)17.81% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.45% (0.192 0.19)48.55% (-0.188 -0.19)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.69% (0.116 0.12)35.31% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.93% (0.119 0.12)72.07% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 53.4%
    Hammarby 22.8%
    Draw 23.79%
MalmoDrawHammarby
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 53.4%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 22.8%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
gameweek 24
Malmo
0-0
Hammarby

Nielsen (45+1')
May 2, 2022 6.10pm
gameweek 6
Hammarby
0-0
Malmo

Jeahze (30'), Bojanic (41')

Rakip (75')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 17
Hammarby
2-1
Malmo
Ludwigson (2'), Seljmani (68')
Seljmani (86')
Paulsen (6' og.)
Inge Berget (77')
Apr 10, 2021 2pm
gameweek 1
Malmo
3-2
Hammarby
Christiansen (36' pen.), Rieks (40'), Knudsen (90')
Innocent (9')
Ludwigson (20'), Khalili (45+7')
Fenger (27'), Outtara Mohammed (90+3')
Nov 22, 2020 4.30pm
gameweek 28
Hammarby
2-2
Malmo
Johannsson (35'), Kacaniklic (79')
Johannsson (29'), Soderstrom (53'), Fallman (57'), Andersen (82')
Fenger (13' og.), Christiansen (45')
Christiansen (27'), Rieks (57'), Ingvi Traustason (58')